Abstract
Despite low attention level in Western media, Ukrainian crisis is not just a local issue, and it is going to jeopardize European integration process due to geopolitical key position of Ukraine in natural gas delivery system. In facts, besides military race, carrying real dangers, a parallel gas war is staging in Ukraine, where U.S.A. - new hydrocarbon exporter thanks to revolution - is trying to break the Russian monopoly on Europe, by opening new energetic supply routes, in order to prevent Russia to use this strategic tool to control Europe countries. However, the low price of oil barrel is going to jeopardize U.S.A. plans. In the meantime, Ukraine is close to default due to debt crisis. The decrease of domestic production of energy - caused by political and geopolitical reason related to civil war and annexation of Crimea to Russia - worsens the crisis and prevent Ukraine to free from energetic dependence from Russia, a Moscow's tool to influence internal situation. Russia is trying to overcome Ukrainian bottleneck by opening new routes for Europe, in order to keep monopoly in energetic European marketplace avoiding access of U.S.A. shale gas. In this scenario, the main problem for Europe is the lack of a common strategy: divided in Russian-friendly countries, anti-Russian and lone wolves, European countries pursue their own energetic policies, weakening European Union and threating to bring Europe to a new division in spheres of influence.
Highlights
IntroductionStarting from President Yanukovych’s decision not to sign the agreement between Ukraine and the EU, leading to heavy clashes and following deposition of the President, the tension in Ukraine has grown quickly and flown in a violent civil war, involving Ukrainian troops leaded by new president Poroshenko on one side, and Russian-backed separatist militias of the Eastern regions on the other side
Starting from President Yanukovych’s decision not to sign the agreement between Ukraine and the EU, leading to heavy clashes and following deposition of the President, the tension in Ukraine has grown quickly and flown in a violent civil war, involving Ukrainian troops leaded by new president Poroshenko on one side, and Russian-backed separatist militias of the Eastern regions on the other side.Far from being a local issue, the Ukrainian crisis is going to represents one of the most risky geopolitical issues involving Europe, despite the low visibility level on western media [1]
Russia built a dense network of pipeline for oil and gas in Europe: one third of energetic European supply depends from this network
Summary
Starting from President Yanukovych’s decision not to sign the agreement between Ukraine and the EU, leading to heavy clashes and following deposition of the President, the tension in Ukraine has grown quickly and flown in a violent civil war, involving Ukrainian troops leaded by new president Poroshenko on one side, and Russian-backed separatist militias of the Eastern regions on the other side. Ukrainian putsch was part of this strategy: the role of U.S.A. politics and lenders in so-called “Euromaidan” protests aimed to bring out, from Russian sphere of influence, a key country for the control of Black Sea. Just after Yanukovych departure from Kiev, in February 2014, when he was forced to flee from Ukraine, N.A.T.O. launched a big military operation in Eastern Europe. Russian withdrawal from Crimea and Donbas would destabilize Belarus, Kazakhstan and Georgia; even Putin’s power would be shaken in Kremlin. These elements are going to radicalize clashes, and to make situation difficult to solve
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