Abstract
Russia’s policy towards the South Caucasus has undergone significant changes in the 1990s, and can hardly be characterized as consistent. Nevertheless, Moscow has through all these years been deeply involved in emerging processes in the South Caucasus, and has been afraid of being crowded out of them and of its interests being infringed upon due to the increased presence of third-party actors in the region. This motivation has exerted a constant force on Russia’s behavior. Today, facing huge difficulties in search of a way out of the Chechen conflict, Russia is especially interested in this region that is both stable and friendly to it, a reason which overrides the temptation to deploy risk factors menacing the South Caucasian states (Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia) in the interests of Russia.
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