Abstract
ABSTRACTRussia’s employment of airpower in Syria presents an opportunity to assess its inter- and intra-war adaptation in kinetic counterinsurgency. An initial survey suggests that new technologies and tactics have enhanced the Russian Aerospace Forces’ battlefield lethality and resilience but have not yet triggered a transition in operating concept. Russia has not actualized a reconnaissance-strike regime, advanced air-ground integration, or a revolution in readiness. Rather, situational and strategic factors appear to be more powerful contributors to its superior performance in the current conflict. The resultant findings provide insight into Moscow’s coercive campaign logic, force planning imperatives, and the likelihood that it will re-export the Syria model elsewhere.
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