Abstract
The development of Russian-Georgian relations is determined by both long-term factors and situational circumstances. The former include disagreements between the two countries over security in Transcaucasia: the status of Abkhazia and South Ossetia and the attitude toward NATO activity in the region. Another persistent factor concerns the debate over interaction with Russia in Georgia’s domestic politics. These factors limit the possibilities for expanding bilateral ties. Situational constraints include such phenomena as the COVID-19 pandemic or the domestic political crisis in Georgia after the 2020 parliamentary elections. Taken together, the longterm and situational factors set the general tone for bilateral relations, which are characterized by predictability and low dynamics. Despite the existing limitations, Russian-Georgian cooperation holds promise in areas of trade and societal contacts.
Highlights
Для внутриполитической ситуации в Грузии характерна высокая динамика и конкуренция между ведущими политическими силами
The development of Russian-Georgian relations is determined by both long-term factors
Another persistent factor concerns the debate over interaction
Summary
Аннотация: Развитие российско-грузинских отношений определяется как долгосрочными факторами, так и конъюнктурными обстоятельствами. К ограничителям ситуативного характера можно отнести такие явления, как пандемия COVID-19 или внутриполитический кризис в Грузии после парламентских выборов 2020 г. Shakirov 2 Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Moscow, Russia, Abstract: The development of Russian-Georgian relations is determined by both long-term factors and situational circumstances The former include disagreements between the two countries over security in Transcaucasia: the status of Abkhazia and South Ossetia and the attitude toward NATO activity in the region. Во-вторых, Грузия продолжает курс на сближение с Североатлантическим альянсом (НАТО), Россия же расценивает наращивание активности НАТО вблизи своих границ как одну из основных внешних военных опасностей. В январе-ноябре 2020 г. снижение товарооборота между двумя странами составило 10,4 % [6]
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