Rural-urban difference in the association between particulate matters and stroke incidence: The evidence from a multi-city perspective cohort study

Abstract

Available evidence suggests that air pollutants can cause stroke, but little research has investigated the confounding effects of urban-rural differences. Here, we investigated the urban-rural difference in the correlation between particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) exposure and stroke. This cohort study was based on a prospective multi-city community-based cohort (Guizhou Population Health Cohort Study (GPHCS)) in Guizhou Province, China. A total of 7988 eligible individuals (≥18 years) were enrolled with baseline assessments from November 2010 to December 2012, and follow-up was completed by June 2020. Two major particulate matters (PMs, including PM2.5 and PM10) were assessed monthly from 2000 by using satellite-based spatiotemporal models. The risk of stroke was estimated using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. The association between particulate matters' exposure and stroke in different areas (total, urban, and rural) and the potential modification effect of comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia) and age (≤65/>65 years) were examined using stratified analyses. The risk of stroke increased for every 10 μg/m3 increase in mean PMs’ concentrations during the previous 1 year at the residential address (HR: 1.26, 95%CI: 1.24, 1.29 (PM2.5); HR: 1.13, 95%CI: 1.11, 1.15 (PM10)). The presence of diabetes and dyslipidemia increased the risk of PM10-induced stroke in whole, urban, and rural areas. Specifically, people living in rural areas were more likely to experience the effects of PMs in causing a stroke. The risk of stroke due to PMs was statistically increased in the young and older populations living in rural areas. In conclusion, long-term exposure to PMs increased the risk of stroke and such association was more pronounced in people living in rural areas with lower income levels. Diabetes and dyslipidemia seemed to strengthen the association between PMs and stroke.