Run related probability function and their application to start-up demonstration tests

Abstract

A start-up demonstration test is a mechanism that is usually used to determine the reliability of equipment, for example water pumps, car batteries and power generators. The simplest and oldest start-up demonstration tests are called CS (consecutive successes) which have been studied by Hahn and Gage (1983), Viveros and Balakrishnan (1993).At first Hahn and Gage (1983) discussed the start-up demonstration test. I was based on i.i.d (independently and identically distributed) binary outcomes with the specified number of consecutive successful start-ups. Oh (2016) studied CSNCF (consecutive successful, but not consecutive failures). In this paper, we investigated the CS and CSNCF models, also their applications to start-up demonstration tests. The numerical results showed that the expectations and variances of the total number of attempted start-ups until the acceptance of the unit are gradually increasing in all of the specified number of successes as the p (probability of a successful start-up in an single trial) decreases from 0.99 to 0.90. The difference between means of the CS mode and CSNCF model is small, but variances of the CS and CSNCF are big.