Abstract

Acute pancreatitis is a disease with a wide spectrum of severity, complications, and outcome with severe life-threatening complications develop in patients leading to high mortality in severe acute pancreatitis. The rationale of this study is to diagnose the severity of acute pancreatitis using a single test ratio, i.e., CRP/albumin ratio which is a combination of markers for systemic inflammation and nutritional status. All those patients with age group 16–80 years who were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis and admitted subsequently to ICU were included. Severe pancreatitis was determined as CT severity score above 7. About 41% patients out of total 225 had severe pancreatitis. CRP/albumin ratio >4.35 had a sensitivity of 87% and accuracy of 76% to predict acute severe pancreatitis. Elevated CRP/albumin ratio was also associated with complications like multi-organ failure OR: 2.31 [1.3–4.2], duodenal thickening OR: 2.25 [1.2–4.2], and ascites OR: 2.90 [1.5–5.6]. Although, the severity of this elevation varied with different age groups, such non-invasive and readily available parameters should be relied upon admission to risk stratify the patients suffering from pancreatitis. CRP/albumin ratio has higher sensitivity and negative predictive value to predict severe pancreatitis than CRP alone and hence give additional advantage as a prognostic marker, although Delong's test to compare AUROC was indifferent (P-value: 0.22).

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