Robust multi-objective building design optimization approach using NSGA-II algorithm considering weather and occupant uncertainties

Abstract

A novel methodology is presented to evaluate how real-world operational uncertainties impact multi-objective building design optimization process. NSGA-II algorithm is applied across nine distinct operational scenarios, considering diverse weather datasets and energy usage patterns to optimize energy efficiency and thermal comfort in a residential building within India's hot and dry climate. The analysis considers 382,400 possible design options for each scenario. Using (10.5–12.5) % of model evaluations, NSGA-II significantly reduces Annual Cooling Energy Demand (ACED; 46.7%–58.7%) and Cooling Set-point Unmet Hours (CSUH; 70.92%–86.93%) to identify nine Pareto–Optimal solution sets. The final robust optimal design is confirmed by selecting the most repeated parameter settings, representing the highest robustness. Low thermal transmittance walls, double-glazed windows with a 10% window-to-wall ratio (WWR), deep overhangs, and a low solar heat gain coefficient are recognized as robust optimal building components. However, Air Conditioner (AC) sizing lacks robustness in minimizing energy demand across scenarios, requiring case-specific evaluation due to its sensitivity to weather and operational variations. Further, PAWN sensitivity analysis highlighted the substantial impact of WWR (KSWWR ∼ (0.46–0.66)) and wall type (KSWall ∼ (0.31–0.46)) on ACED and CSUH in chosen climate. AC operation is more important for predicting CSUH (KSAC ∼ 0.35) than ACED (KSAC ∼ 0.10).