Abstract

ABSTRACT Functional linear regression is a widely used approach to model functional responses with respect to functional inputs. However, classical functional linear regression models can be severely affected by outliers. We therefore introduce a Fisher-consistent robust functional linear regression model that is able to effectively fit data in the presence of outliers. The model is built using robust functional principal component and least squares regression estimators. The performance of the functional linear regression model depends on the number of principal components used. We therefore introduce a consistent robust model selection procedure to choose the number of principal components. Our robust functional linear regression model can be used alongside an outlier detection procedure to effectively identify abnormal functional responses. A simulation study shows our method is able to effectively capture the regression behavior in the presence of outliers, and is able to find the outliers with high accuracy. We demonstrate the usefulness of our method on jet engine sensor data. We identify outliers that would not be found if the functional responses were modeled independently of the functional input, or using nonrobust methods.

Highlights

  • Functional Linear Regression (FLR) in the function-on-function case (Ramsay and Dalzell, 1991) is a widely used technique for modelling functional responses with respect to functional inputs

  • We can see that the outliers from the Robust FLR (RFLR) model do not necessarily appear as abnormal if we look at the temperature curves directly

  • There exist a number of functional regression models for functional inputs and responses, these methods are not robust to outliers

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Summary

Introduction

Functional Linear Regression (FLR) in the function-on-function case (Ramsay and Dalzell, 1991) is a widely used technique for modelling functional responses with respect to functional inputs. An automated approach to identifying pass-off test segments that require closer inspection will enable a larger proportion of the pass-off data to be processed, and can improve the early identification of engine issues To achieve this goal it is first necessary to develop accurate models of the expected behaviour of a healthy engine during different manoeuvres. This naturally affects the TGT curves and can mask unusual behaviour arising from an engine issue.

Classical Functional Data Analysis
Functional Linear Regression
Functional Principal Component Analysis
Bayesian Information Criterion for FLR
Robust Functional Linear Regression
Robust Bayesian Information Criterion for FLR
Consistency Results
Outlier Detection
Simulation Study
Scenarios
Jet Engine data
Conclusion
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