Abstract
A new approach to robust estimation of signals and prediction of time-series is considered. Signal and system parameter deviations are represented as random variables, with known covariances. A robust design is obtained by minimizing the squared estimation error, averaged both with respect to model errors and noise. A polynomial solution, based on averaged spectral factorizations and averaged Diophantine equations, is derived. The robust, estimator is called a cautious Wiener filter. It turns out to be no more complicated to design than an ordinary Wiener filter
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