Abstract

With the increase of installed capacity of new energy such as wind power and photovoltaic, its randomness and intermittency will greatly affect the safety and stability of power system operation; in addition, the safety and reliability of the system should be taken into account in capacity planning. A robust capacity planning model with reliability constraints is proposed. Taking Expected energy not supply (EENS) as the reliability index, the influence of uncertain parameters such as natural gas price and various power failure rates on the planning results is considered. Finally, an optimal power allocation scheme is obtained.

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