Abstract

BackgroundEthiopia had an increasing trend of morbidity and mortality due to road traffic injury. Road traffic injured patient’s recovery rate is affected by many different factors. Those factors might affect the duration of time to recovery. Therefore studying the median time to recovery and its predictors of road traffic injured patients will be needed to act upon the patient’s hospital provided service.MethodA retrospective cohort study design was employed. The study population was all admitted road traffic injured patients in Ayder tertiary hospital. We have used the total of all three-year RTI patients’ chart from 2015 to 2017 found in the hospital. After excluding incomplete charts for major variables the sample size was 322. Descriptive statistics, life table, Kaplan-Meier, log-rank test and assumptions of the Cox proportional hazard model was applied. Bi and multivariate Cox regression analysis, hazard ratios and associated 95% CI were estimated.ResultMale to female RTI patient ratio was 3:1. Of the total 258(80.1%) had been recovered and the median survival time to recovery was 15 days (interquartile range 7–29). From those recovered, 104(40.3%) had been referred from other health facilities. Availability of referral form linkage [adjusted hazard ratio = 1.5, CI (1.1–1.9)], mild and moderate glass coma scale [adjusted hazard ratio = 2.3, CI (1.3–3.9)], conservative management [adjusted hazard ratio = 1.6, CI (1.2–2.1)], and not having organ injury [adjusted hazard ratio = 1.6, CI (1.1–2.3)] were associated with time to recovery in multivariate analysis.ConclusionMedian time to recovery of road traffic injured patients was relatively good. Being referred from another health facility, mild and moderate glass coma scale, conservative management and without organ injury was positively associated with time to recovery of road traffic injured patients. We would like to recommend for future prospective studies to determine the time to return to work of road traffic injured patients and quality of life after the injury.

Highlights

  • Ethiopia had an increasing trend of morbidity and mortality due to road traffic injury

  • Median time to recovery of road traffic injured patients was relatively good. Being referred from another health facility, mild and moderate glass coma scale, conservative management and without organ injury was positively associated with time to recovery of road traffic injured patients

  • Tesfay et al BMC Public Health (2019) 19:749 sex, age, glass coma scale (GCS) score, injury severity score (ISS) and systolic blood pressures at admission were increasingly associated with recovery from road traffic injured patients [5–10]

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Summary

Result

Socio-demographic factors The overall recovery rate was 258(80.1%), and 64(19.9%) was censored. Extremity injury of admitted RTI patients accounted for 171(53.1%) (Table 3). The median time to recovery of admitted RTI patients A total of 322 patients were followed for three different year period which produced a total of 5387 person day observation. The median time to recovery of admitted road traffic injured patients was 15 days (interquartile range (IQR) 7, 29) Fig. 1. The log-rank test showed that there was a statistically significant difference in time to recovery of availability of referral form, ICU admission, admission GCS, organ injury, KTS II and patient management (Table 4). Predictors of time to recovery In Multivariate Cox PH model; availability of referral form 1.5(1.1–1.9), admission GCS 2.3(1.3–3.9), organ injury 1.6(1.1–2.3), and patient management 1.6(1.2–2.1) was significantly associated with recovery (Table 5)

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