Abstract

For driving safely and comfortably, the long-term trajectory prediction of surrounding vehicles is essential for autonomous vehicles. For handling the uncertain nature of trajectory prediction, deep-learning-based approaches have been proposed previously. An on-road vehicle must obey road geometry, i.e., it should run within the constraint of the road shape. Herein, we present a novel road-aware trajectory prediction method which leverages the use of high-definition maps with a deep learning network. We developed a data-efficient learning framework for the trajectory prediction network in the curvilinear coordinate system of the road and a lane assignment for the surrounding vehicles. Then, we proposed a novel output-constrained sequence-to-sequence trajectory prediction network to incorporate the structural constraints of the road. Our method uses these structural constraints as prior knowledge for the prediction network. It is not only used as an input to the trajectory prediction network, but is also included in the constrained loss function of the maneuver recognition network. Accordingly, the proposed method can predict a feasible and realistic intention of the driver and trajectory. Our method has been evaluated using a real traffic dataset, and the results thus obtained show that it is data-efficient and can predict reasonable trajectories at merging sections.

Highlights

  • Driving situation awareness is a fundamental requirement for an intelligent vehicle, since high-level decision making, trajectory planning, and tracking control are based on this information [1,2]

  • Schematic showing showing the concept of road-aware trajectory prediction: vehicles vehicles should run along roadway while obeying the structural constraints of of the the road

  • We adopted the curvilinear coordinate system and lane assignment to represent the motion of a vehicle usingthe

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Summary

Introduction

Driving situation awareness is a fundamental requirement for an intelligent vehicle, since high-level decision making, trajectory planning, and tracking control are based on this information [1,2]. The longer the prediction horizon, the lower is its accuracy, since KF does not account for the uncertain nature of the driver’s maneuvering To tackle this limitation, many studies have adopted learning-based approaches, such as recurrent neural network (RNN) variants [7,8,9] and a combinatorial model of a variational autoencoder (VAE) and an RNN encoder–decoder structure, to improve the prediction accuracy [10,11,12] of the employed network. Schematic showing showing the concept of road-aware trajectory prediction: vehicles vehicles should run along roadway while obeying the structural constraints of of the the road. ToTo mitigate data-efficient learning method to make the dataset compact This approach enables the prediction to to learn efficiently and maintain a consistent performance even in different predictionnetwork network learn efficiently and maintain a consistent performance even in road segments.

Related Work
Practical Problem Statement of Trajectory Prediction
Extracted
Data Processing
1: We assume the global position of an ego vehicle to be
Road-aware
Maneuver Recognition Network
Trajectory Prediction Network
Dataset
Effectiveness of The
Method
Feasible Trajectory Prediction at a Merging Section
Merging
10. Comparison
Conclusions
Full Text
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