Risks in the Educational Management of Ukraine during War and Post-war Development

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Risk management is the main element of the management system in educational institutions. During the war and post-war development, the issue of identifying risks in educational management and assessing their impact on management decision-making takes on from a new perspective. This article analyzes recent studies and publications in the field of risks in educational management, covering both general and those that are specific to the management of educational institutions in tactical, strategic, and post-war horizons. The article also determines risk estimates and presents possible strategies and measures for responding to risk events. The material presented in the article is based on research conducted through interviews with experts. The respondents included middle and senior managers, as well as owners of educational institutions from eight cities and nine regions of Ukraine. In this study, risks were classified by scope and source of occurrence, which were categorized into external and internal risks. Three main groups were identified within external risks: political, economic, and social risks. Internal risks are divided into financial, technical, and managerial risks. A general analysis of expert assessments demonstrated the most and least likely risks and their impact on the management system of world institutions in Ukraine across three time intervals: now, during the war, and post-war reconstruction. Each time dimension is considered in detail, and the change in structure, priority and assessment of the impact of classified risks on the management system of educational institutions is analyzed. For each risk factor, the article provides recommendations on the response strategy and measures to ensure the leveling of the impact of the risk in the management of the educational institution. Special attention is paid to strategies and measures for responding to a risk event in post-war reconstruction, which will make it possible to achieve the set goals in the construction of new directions for the development of Ukrainian educational institutions within the framework of the current Concept of the Strategy of Post-War Reconstruction and Development of Ukraine.