Risk-averse based optimal operational strategy of grid-connected photovoltaic/wind/battery/diesel hybrid energy system in the electricity/hydrogen markets

Abstract

The techno-economic advantages of grid-connected hybrid energy system (HES) exploit synergies to improve reliability and economic efficiency while maintaining grid stability. Therefore, this paper proposes a risk-averse optimal operational strategy of grid-connected photovoltaic/wind/battery/diesel HES to participate into two energy markets including electricity and hydrogen markets. The grid company can flexibly trade power into two markets to maximally achieve profits based on price arbitrage. The risk influences of the uncertainties, i.e., photovoltaic/wind generation, and electricity prices on the expected revenue are evaluated with CVaR model. For a better exhibition of seasonal variability effects on HES optimal operation strategy, two typical Spring/Summer days are chosen. The proposed risk-averse optimal operational strategy is formulated as a two-stage mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model. The results in a Spring day simulation under non-risk situation indicate that the overall expected revenue can be improved 2.74 times larger if considering hydrogen market. Moreover, the optimal operational strategy of hydrogen production is considerably affected by unpredictable wind farm. Sensitivity analysis also validates that the changes of PV/WT curtailment penalty have a profound influence than battery degradation coefficient on the HES expected revenue.