Abstract

We examined whether severity of coronary artery disease (CAD) measured by coronary computed tomography angiography can be used to predict rates of myocardial infarction (MI) and death in patients with and without diabetes. A cohort study of consecutive patients (n = 48731) registered in the Western Denmark Cardiac Computed Tomography Registry from 2008 to 2016. Patients were stratified by diabetes status and CAD severity (no, non-obstructive, or obstructive). Endpoints were MI and death. Event rates per 1000 person-years, unadjusted and adjusted incidence rate ratios were computed. Median follow-up was 3.6 years. Among non-diabetes patients, MI event rates per 1000 person-years were 1.4 for no CAD, 4.1 for non-obstructive CAD, and 9.1 for obstructive CAD. Among diabetes patients, the corresponding rates were 2.1 for no CAD, 4.8 for non-obstructive CAD, and 12.6 for obstructive CAD. Non-diabetes and diabetes patients without CAD had similar low rates of MI [adjusted incidence rate ratio 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.71-2.78]. Among diabetes patients, the adjusted risk of MI increased with severity of CAD (no CAD: reference; non-obstructive CAD: adjusted incidence rate ratio 1.71, 95% CI: 0.79-3.68; obstructive CAD: adjusted incidence rate ratio 4.42, 95% CI: 2.14-9.17). Diabetes patients had higher death rates than non-diabetes patients, irrespective of CAD severity. In patients without CAD, diabetes patients have a low risk of MI similar to non-diabetes patients. Further, MI rates increase with CAD severity in both diabetes and non-diabetes patients; with diabetes patients with obstructive CAD having the highest risk of MI.

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