Abstract
Objective To develop a simple scoring system to identify individuals with higher risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods Major risk factors of T2DM were fixed after literature review.Logistic regression was used to select risk factors of T2DM.Target populations were randomly assigned to 2 groups, and group A was used for the development of risk factor scoring method and group B for the confirmation of this new method. Results The threshold for T2DM risk was 65.0 for men and 65.5 for women (sensitivity 90.6% and 83.3%, respectively; specificity 89.4% and 97.7%, respectively; positive predictive value 58.8% and 80.0%, respectively; negative predictive value 98.3% and 98.2%, respectively; area under the curve 0.955 and 0.899, respectively). There was significant difference of T2DM detection between screening and risk scoring system (P=0.000). Conclusion Our T2DM risk scoring system may provide an effective tool to identify individuals with a higher risk of developing T2DM. Key words: Diabetes mellitus, type 2; Risk factors; Risk score
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