Abstract

Risk-neutral pricing of European call options is investigated from a mathematical point-of-view and is found to be a specious concept1. Risk-neutral pricing of European call options is an approximation in which all terms of order are ignored, where is the risk premium and σ is the volatility.

Highlights

  • Open AccessThe concept of risk-neutral pricing of European call options is investigated from a mathematical approach

  • Risk-neutral pricing of European call options is an approximation in which all terms of order (α − r ) σ are ignored, where α − r is the risk premium and σ is the volatility

  • It is found that risk-neutral pricing used in the pricing of European call options is a specious concept [1] [2] [3] that is only approximately correct and that ignores terms of (α − r ) σ, where α − r is the risk premium and σ2 is the variance of the one-day return of the asset that underlies the call option

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Summary

Introduction

The concept of risk-neutral pricing of European call options is investigated from a mathematical approach. It is found that risk-neutral pricing used in the pricing of European call options is a specious concept [1] [2] [3] that is only approximately correct and that ignores terms of (α − r ) σ , where α − r is the risk premium and σ2 is the variance of the one-day return of the asset that underlies the call option. The risk premium equals (α − r ) with α the true drift rate of the underlying option and r the risk-free rate

Background
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Formula
Risk-Neutral Pricing
Girsanov’s Theorem
Probability Measures
Analysis
A Thought Experiment
Apply Girsanov’s Theorem
A Scaled Approach
Conclusions
Full Text
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