Abstract
A diagnostic model for managing the risk of NPP incidents attending different irregularities of equipment operation is examined for the example of the oil delivery system of the main circulation pump. The model includes the construction of a graph of the operation of the oil system and ranking in order to obtain indices of priority for monitoring information flow that reflect the actuation probability of each form of protection. The results of the analysis can used as input data for predicting the duration of a stable state of a technological system in the course of operation on the basis of stochastic extrapolation of the parameters by means of single-channel queuing systems with finite storage – technological protection and blocking.
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