RISK MANAGEMENT IN EXPORT-ORIENTED VEGETABLE FARMS IN FAYOUM GOVERNORATE

Abstract

The research aimed to analyze the risks in some of export- orientedvegetables production farms in Fayoum Governorate, how to manage these risks,analyzing the different scenarios that the farm managers take to deal with theexisting or potential risks. The data were based on a questionnaire that collecteddata from 114 export vegetable farms (79 tomato farms, 35 green bean farms). Italso relied on the use of the risk management standard model, SWOT analysis, thehazard rate matrix and some other statistical methods.The results of the study included an analysis of the risks of tomatoes and greenbeans and the resulting losses. The results of the risk analysis of tomato yieldshowed that 97.47% of the study population, which is in 77 tomato productionfarms, The average yield per feddan before the infection decreased from 35.89 tonsto about 23.95 tons after infection, and the remaining farms are 21 farms, about27.27% were exposed to the loss of the whole crop, and for the crop of green beansThe risk of disease was reduced to only 85.71%, about 30 farms, resulting in adecrease in the crop by 32.38%, from 4.2 tons per feddan on average to about 2.84tons, in about 83.33% of the number of farms affected, while about 16.67% ofthese farms have been completely lost, so the total loss of the crop is estimated by14.28% of the green beans, and the probability of a decrease of the crop by about32.38% of the average without the injury of about 71.43% , Indicating that the riskis higher in the tomato crop than the green bean crop. The potential risk for pestsand diseases was the effect of temperature and only 5 farms about 14.28% of greenbeans farms, reduced their productivity by 27.5%. The third risk is the lack ofirrigation water and only two farms, about 2.53% of the tomato farms, resulted in adecrease in the average productivity of feddan by 23.19%.