Abstract

Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is one of the most common complications in premature infants. This disease is caused by long-time use of supplemental oxygen, which seriously affects the lung function of the child and imposes a heavy burden on the family and society. This research aims to adopt the method of ensemble learning in machine learning, combining the Boruta algorithm and the random forest algorithm to determine the predictors of premature infants with BPD and establish a predictive model to help clinicians to conduct an optimal treatment plan. Data were collected from clinical records of 996 premature infants treated in the neonatology department of Liuzhou Maternal and Child Health Hospital in Western China. In this study, premature infants with congenital anomaly, premature infants who died, and premature infants with incomplete data before the diagnosis of BPD were excluded from the data set. After exclusion, we included 648 premature infants in the study. The Boruta algorithm and 10-fold cross-validation were used for feature selection in this study. Six variables were finally selected from the 26 variables, and the random forest model was established. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was as high as 0.929 with excellent predictive performance. The use of machine learning methods can help clinicians predict the disease so as to formulate the best treatment plan.

Highlights

  • In recent decades, the survival rate of extremely premature infants has been increased by the advances in newborn care, but the incidence of newborns is still high [1, 2]

  • The diagnosis and classification of Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) are mainly based on the standards published by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD)

  • For premature infants born at a gestational age of

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Summary

Introduction

The survival rate of extremely premature infants has been increased by the advances in newborn care, but the incidence of newborns is still high [1, 2]. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is the most common disease in preterm infants. Most surviving children with BPD have obstructive airway disease, pulmonary hypertension, and growth retardation, which seriously threaten the safety and quality of life of premature infants and impose a serious burden on the family and society [3]. The diagnosis of BPD in very preterm infants has been updated by Jensen et al in the American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. Their study defined BPD according to treatment with the following support at 36 weeks’ postmenstrual age, regardless of prior or current oxygen therapy: no BPD, no support; grade 1, nasal cannula ≤ 2 L/min; grade 2, nasal cannula > 2 L/min or noninvasive positive airway pressure; and grade 3, invasive mechanical ventilation [5]

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