Risk factors for the recurrence of early hepatocellular carcinoma treated by percutaneous radiofrequency ablation with a multiple-electrode switching system: a multicenter prospective study

Abstract

Purpose To investigate the long-term efficacy of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with a multiple-electrode switching system (MESS) in the treatment of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the patterns and risk factors of intrahepatic recurrence of HCC after RFA. Methods In total, 139 patients with early HCC who underwent RFA with MESS as primary treatment at multiple centers were prospectively enrolled according to the inclusion criteria. We evaluated the local tumor progression (LTP), intrahepatic distant recurrence (IDR), the incidence of cumulative disease-free survival (DFS), LTP-free survival, IDR-free survival, and overall survival. We also analyzed the associated risk factors. Results A total of 139 patients were included in the study and the median follow-up time was 64 months, ranging from 11 to 72 months. The complete ablation rate was 98.56%. Sixty-nine (49.64%) were found to have intrahepatic recurrence (LTP, n = 15; IDR, n = 55) during follow-up. The 1-year, 3-year and 5-year cumulative DFS, LTP-free survival, and IDR-free survival rates were 74.82, 94.46 and 78.75%; 54.68, 88.03 and 61.79%; and 51.80, 85.67 and 60.17%, respectively. In the multivariable analysis, tumor size > 4 cm was the only important risk factor for LTP. The alkaline phosphatase (ALP) level and the number of tumors were independent risk factors for IDR; α-fetoprotein (AFP) level > 400 µg/L and recurrence interval were risk factors for the overall survival period. Conclusions The MESS-RFA is an effective method for local control of tumors in early HCC. Early HCC with multiple high-ALP tumors has a higher rate of recurrence, which mainly occurs in an IDR pattern. Early HCC with high AFP levels and a shorter initial recurrence interval resulted in a poorer prognosis. Thus, treatments such as liver transplantation or surgical resection may be a good strategy in those cases. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02046356.