Risk Factors for and the Prognostic Impact of Pericardial Effusion after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Abstract

Pericardial effusion (PE) is a rare complication after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Although the mechanisms underlying the onset of PE remain unclear, patients with PE after allo-HSCT have poor clinical outcomes. However, the prognostic impact of PE remains controversial, and risk factors have varied among studies. Therefore, we examined contributing as well as prognostic factors for PE. We retrospectively examined 243 patients who underwent allo-HSCT at the Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University and Takamatsu Red Cross Hospital, Kagawa, Japan between 2000 and 2020. Forty-three patients (18%) were excluded owing to a lack of data on PE, and thus we ultimately analyzed 200 patients. We reviewed the findings of computed tomography (CT) scans, including chest CT, and echocardiography after allo-HSCT. Only cases in which a radiologist or echocardiography technician detected PE were assessed. PE was stratified into localized PE and whole-circumference PE. The median age at transplantation was 52 years (range, 16 to 74 years). The study cohort comprised 106 patients (53%) age more than 50 years, 88 females (44%), and 112 males (56%). Primary diseases were myeloid neoplasms in 122 patients (61%) and lymphoid neoplasms in 78 (39%). The conditioning regimen was myeloablative in 142 patients (71%) and nonmyeloablative in 58 (29%). The median duration of follow-up was 47 months (range, 1 to 209 months). Forty patients developed PE within 100 days; localized in 23 (12%) and whole circumference in 17 (9%). In a multivariate analysis, significant risk factors for the development of PE within 100 days were late neutrophil engraftment (hazard ratio [HR], 5.24; 95% CI, 1.92 to 14.30; P < .01) and thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) (HR, 8.23; 95% CI, 1.42 to 47.60; P=.02). The incidence of whole- circumference PE correlated with a lower overall survival (OS) rate (HR, 3.10; 95% CI, 1.34 to 7.17; P < .01) and higher nonrelapse mortality (NRM) rate (HR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.18 to 7.32; P=.02). In the subgroup analysis, significant risk factors for the development of PE within 365 days were late neutrophil engraftment (HR, 3.13; 95% CI, 1.08 to 9.02; P=.04), the occurrence of chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) (HR, 3.57; 95% CI, 1.19 to 10.70; P=.02), and disease recurrence (HR, 4.98; 95% CI, 1.43 to 17.30; P=.01). The development of whole-circumference PE also correlated with a lower OS rate (HR, 3.83; 95% CI, 1.65 to 8.89; P < .01) and a higher NRM rate (HR, 83.21; 95% CI, 17.75 to 390.10; P < .01). The overall occurrence of acute (grade II to IV) GVHD, chronic GVHD, and TMA were 36% (72 of 200), 39% (78 of 200), and 10% (19 of 200), respectively. In the entire cohort, the 3-year OS rate was 55%, and 3-year relapse and NRM rates were 37 and 14%, respectively. The present results demonstrate that risk factors for PE varied according to the time after allo-HSCT, and that whole-circumference PE at any time correlated with lower OS and higher NRM rates. A large-scale prospective study is needed to verify risk factors for PE and clarify whether immunosuppressive interventions based on the onset of PE improve the clinical prognosis of patients.