Abstract
BackgroundOver the past two decades, Zanzibar substantially reduced malaria burden. As malaria decreases, sustainable improvements in control interventions may increasingly depend on accurate knowledge of malaria risk factors to further target interventions. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors associated with malaria infection in Zanzibar.MethodsSurveillance data from Zanzibar’s Malaria Case Notification system from August 2012 and December 2019 were analyzed. This system collects data on malaria cases passively detected and reported by all health facilities (index cases), and household-based reactive case detection (RCD) activities linked to those primary cases. All members of households of the index cases were screened for malaria using a malaria rapid diagnostic test (RDT). Individuals with a positive RDT were treated with artemisinin-based combination therapy. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were done to investigate the association between RDT positivity among the household members and explanatory factors with adjustment for seasonality and clustering at Shehia level.ResultsA total of 30,647 cases were reported of whom household RCD was completed for 21,443 (63%) index case households and 85,318 household members tested for malaria. The findings show that younger age (p-value for trend [Ptrend] < 0.001), history of fever in the last 2 weeks (odds ratio [OR] = 35.7; 95% CI 32.3–39.5), travel outside Zanzibar in the last 30 days (OR = 2.5; 95% CI 2.3–2.8) and living in Unguja (OR = 1.2; 95% CI 1.0–1.5) were independently associated with increased odds of RDT positivity. In contrast, male gender (OR=0.8; 95% CI 0.7–0.9), sleeping under an LLIN the previous night (OR = 0.9; 95% CI 0.7–0.9), having higher household net access (Ptrend < 0.001), and living in a household that received IRS in the last 12 months (OR = 0.8; 95% CI 0.7–0.9) were independently associated with reduced odds of RDT positivity. A significant effect modification of combining IRS and LLIN was also noted (OR = 0.7; 95% CI 0.6–0.8).ConclusionsThe findings suggest that vector control remains an important malaria prevention intervention: they underscore the need to maintain universal access to LLINs, the persistent promotion of LLIN use, and application of IRS. Additionally, enhanced behavioural change and preventive strategies targeting children aged 5–14 years and travellers are needed.
Highlights
Over the past two decades, Zanzibar substantially reduced malaria burden
Between August 2012 and December 2019, 30,647 index malaria cases were reported by health facilities through the Malaria Case Notification (MCN) system; overall, an index case investigation and household reactive case detection (RCD) was completed for 21,443 (63%) index case households (Table 1)
This study investigated factors associated with malaria infection among the general population living in households where malaria cases had been detected passively when attending public or private health facilities in Zanzibar
Summary
Over the past two decades, Zanzibar substantially reduced malaria burden. As malaria decreases, sustainable improvements in control interventions may increasingly depend on accurate knowledge of malaria risk factors to further target interventions. Over the past two decades, Zanzibar substantially reduced malaria burden, with parasite prevalence decreasing from more than 30% in 2005 to 0.2% in 2017 [1] These gains followed the introduction and rapid scale-up of malaria rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs), artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT), long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS) of households with insecticide [2, 3]. The application of malaria control interventions in Zanzibar was aimed at achieving universal coverage and a recent impact evaluation comparing malaria incidence before and after inception of interventions suggested that this approach resulted in rapid declines of malaria [4]. A recent literature review and meta-analysis of 22 studies investigating travel as a risk factor for malaria infection in sub-Saharan Africa showed that travel—within as well as to and from another country—was an important risk factor in many settings [10]
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