Risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in hospitalized patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a multicenter retrospective study

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in hospitalized patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Methods: A total of 6 668 patients hospitalized for AECOPD in seven tertiary hospitals from September 2017 to January 2021 were consecutively included, and clinical data related to medical history, laboratory tests, treatment and prognosis were collected, and patients were divided into death group and survival group according to whether they died during hospitalization. After univariate analysis, multivariate logistic regression analysis was then performed to explore the independent risk factors related to in-hospital mortality. Results: Among 6 668 patients hospitalized for AECOPD, 128 patients experienced in-hospital death, with a mortality rate of 1.9%. The mean age of the death group was (81±9) years, which was significantly older than that of the survival group ((72±11) years P<0.001). The proportion of patients in the AECOPD in-hospital death group with a combination of prolonged bed rest, hypertension, myocardial infarction within 3 months, cardiac insufficiency, chronic pulmonary heart disease, pneumonia, type 2 diabetes, venous thromboembolism (VTE), and chronic renal insufficiency was also significantly higher than in the survival group (all P<0.05) The median length of stay in the in-hospital death group was 18 d, which was significantly longer than that in the survival group (9 d, P<0.001), and the proportion of patients admitted to the ICU, receiving invasive mechanical ventilation and non-invasive mechanical ventilation was also significantly higher than that in the survival group (all P<0.05). The white blood cell count, glutamic transaminase, blood creatinine, calcitoninogen, C-reactive protein, D-dimer, N-terminal B-type natriuretic and Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection rates were significantly higher than those in the survival group (all P<0.05). Multifactorial analysis showed that age>80 years (OR=3.82, 95%CI 2.36 to 6.18, P<0.001), prolonged bed rest (OR=2.95, 95%CI: 1.79 to 4.86, P<0.001), chronic pulmonary heart disease (OR=1.85, 95%CI: 1.14 to 3.00, P=0.012), and pneumonia (OR=2.75, 95%CI: 1.65 to 4.60, P<0.001), invasive mechanical ventilation (OR=7.33, 95%CI: 4.40 to 12.21, P<0.001), noninvasive mechanical ventilation (OR=3.73, 95%CI: 2.30 to 6.04, P<0.001), anemia (OR=2.03. 95%CI: 1.21 to 3.42, P=0.008), and calcitoninogen>0.5 ng/ml (OR=2.38, 95%CI: 1.41 to 4.02, P=0.001) were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD. Conclusion: Advanced age (>80 years), prolonged bed rest, chronic pulmonary heart disease, pneumonia, invasive mechanical ventilation, noninvasive mechanical ventilation, anemia, and calcitoninogen>0.5 ng/ml were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized with AECOPD.