Risk Factor–Guided Early Discharge and Potential Resource Allocation Benefits in Patients with Traumatic Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Abstract

We sought to develop screening criteria predicting the lack of poor neurologic outcomes in patients presenting with traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (tSAH) and to evaluate their potential to improve resource allocation in these cases. We retrospectively reviewed patients presenting with tSAH to the emergency department (ED) of a tertiary-care institution from 2016 to 2018. We defined good neurologic outcomes as patients with stable/improving neurologic status, who did not require neurosurgical intervention, had no expanding bleed, and needed no hospital readmission. Univariate and multivariate models were generated to predict risk factors inversely associated with good neurologic outcome. A total of 167 patients presented with tSAH from 2016 to 2018. The presence of depressed skull fracture, concomitant spinal fracture, low Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, cranial nerve palsies, disorientation, concomitant hemorrhages, midline shift, increased international normalized ratio (INR), and emergent medical intervention were inversely correlated with likelihood of good neurologic outcome on univariate analysis. Multivariate regression showed that midline shift (odds ratio [OR], 0.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.05-0.89; P= 0.04), GCS score <13 (OR, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.05-0.99; P= 0.05), increased INR (OR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.03-0.85; P= 0.04), and emergent medical intervention (OR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.04-0.63; P= 0.01) were independently associated with lower likelihood of good neurologic outcome. Forty-six patients without any factors had good outcomes but were held in the ED or admitted to the hospital. These patients (if instead discharged directly) meant a potential cost savings of $179,172. In our study, we found multiple risk factors inversely associated with good neurologic outcome, namely low GCS score, midline shift, emergent medical intervention, and INR ≥1.4. Our findings may aid clinicians in determining which tSAH patients are candidates for safe early discharge.