Risk Factor Analysis of Lymph Node Metastasis for Rectal Neuroendocrine Tumors: Who Needs a Radical Resection in Rectal Neuroendocrine Tumors Sized 1-2 cm?

Abstract

Rectal neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) have malignant potential, and lymph node (LN) or distant metastases can occur; however, treatment of NETs 1-2cm in size is controversial. This study aimed to identify predictive factors for LN metastasis and prognostic factors for recurrence of rectal NETs, especially tumors 1‒2cm in size. Between October 2004 and November 2020, 453 patients underwent endoscopic or surgical treatment for rectal NETs in Seoul National University Hospital. The data on these patients were prospectively collected in our database and reviewed retrospectively. In cases of local excision, we evaluated LN metastasis with radiologic imaging, including computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging before treatment and during the follow-up periods. LN metastasis was observed in 40 patients (8.8%). A higher rate of LN metastasis was observed in larger-sized tumors, advanced T stage, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), perineural invasion (PNI), and high tumor grade. In multivariable analysis, the significant risk factors for LN metastasis were tumor size (1≤ size < 2 cm: hazard ratio [HR] 64.07; size ≥2 cm: HR 102.37, p<0.001) and tumor grade (G2: HR 3.63, p=0.034; G3: HR 5.09, p=0.044). In multivariable analysis for tumors 1-2cm in size, the risk factor for LN metastasis was tumor grade (G2: HR 6.34, p=0.013). Tumor grade and size are important predictive factors for LN metastasis. In NETs 2cm in size, tumor grade is also important for LN metastasis, and radical resection should be considered.