Risk Averse Second Best Toll Pricing

Abstract

Existing second best toll pricing (SBTP) models determine optimal tolls of a subset of links in a transportation network by minimizing certain system objective, while the traffic flow pattern is assumed to follow user equilibrium (UE). We show in this paper that such toll design approach is risk prone, which tries to optimize for the best-case scenario, if the UE problem has multiple solutions. Accordingly, we propose a risk averse SBTP approach aiming to optimize for the worst-case scenario, which can be formulated as a min-max problem. We establish a general solution existence condition for the risk averse model and discuss in detail that such a condition may not be always satisfied in reality. In case a solution does not exist, it is possible to replace the exact UE solution set by a set of approximate solutions. This replacement guarantees the solution existence of the risk averse model. We then develop a scheme such that the solution set of an affine UE can be explicitly expressed. Using this explicit representation, an improved simplex method can be adopted to solve the risk averse SBTP model.