Risk Assessment of Immersed Tube Tunnel Construction

Abstract

Due to the complexity of risk factors in constructing immersed tube tunnels, it is impossible to accurately identify risks. To solve this problem, and the uncertainty and fuzziness of risk factors, a risk assessment method for immersed tube tunnel construction was proposed based on WBS-RBS (Work Breakdown Structure-Risk Breakdown Structure), improved AHP (analytic hierarchy process), and cloud model theory. WBS-RBS was used to analyze the risk factors of immersed tube tunnel construction from the aspects of the construction process and 4M1E, and built a more comprehensive and accurate construction risk index system. The weight of each index was calculated by the improved AHP of a genetic algorithm. The cloud model theory was used to build the cloud map of risk assessment for immersed tunnel construction and evaluate construction risk. Taking the Dalian Bay subsea tunnel project as an example, the risk assessment method of immersed tunnel construction was verified. The results showed that this method not only solved the problem of failing the consistency check in the higher-order judgment matrix but also improved the consistency pass rate by 33.3% and accurately reflected the risk assessment results. The assessment results show that the construction risk level of the Dalian Bay submarine-immersed tunnel is medium. The risk level of indicators “slope instability” and “water-stop damage” are high risk, while “pipe section cracking”, “low underwater alignment accuracy”, “uneven crimping of a water-stop”, and “uneven substrate treatment” are medium risk. This provides a reference for the risk assessment study of immersed tunnel construction.