Abstract

Hydrogen, the raw material of diesel hydrofining process, is flammable and explosive. Once the leaking hydrogen is exposed to ignition sources, it will cause huge losses to people's health and property safety. In this paper, a dynamic risk assessment method of hydrogen leakage based on Dynamic Bayesian Network is proposed to analyze the uncertainty and dynamics of hydrogen leakage risk in the diesel hydrogenation process and to make up for the shortage of dynamic risk assessment of diesel hydrogenation process nowadays. Through the case study of diesel hydrogenation process, the applicability and advantages of the proposed method are proved. The dynamic changes of hydrogen leakage probability, the critical risk factors and safety barriers of hydrogen leakage accident are obtained, and possible accident consequences in two years are identified. Meanwhile, the corresponding measures which provide theoretical guidance for the safety production of petrochemical enterprises are proposed to further reduce the risk of hydrogen leakage in the diesel hydrogenation process.

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