Abstract
Following the detection of Listeria monocytogenes in samples of dry cured ham imported in the USA from Italy, the Italian Ministry of Health planned a risk assessment for listeriosis in ham consumers. The risk assessment was performed according to international guidelines set by FAO and WHO. Expected incidence of illness was 4.7 × 10 −10 cases per serving in the case of normal adult population, 6.1 × 10 −7 in the case of organ transplanted patients, the most susceptible risk sub-population. Due to the low value of water activity even in the deeper parts of the ham, bacterial growth had a very slight effect on the probability of illness.
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