RISK ANALYSIS OF A SOCIAL INVESTMENT PROJECT

Abstract

"Social projects are characterized by a low level of income from implementation, but they have a very pronounced social return in favour of the welfare of the population of the region, city, district. However, such projects are also subject to risks, which level needs to be determined in order to take various corrective actions on projects. Such activities can be: conducting additional market research, choosing alternative areas for construction, choosing another contractor, etc. Also, for each project, several examinations are made, which are aimed at identifying risks based on the expert opinions of specialists, a number of indicators are calculated, one of which is budgetary and social efficiency. In the article, we will consider the main causes of project risks, types of risks, current methods for assessing the risks of social projects, and describe the boundaries of risks that affect the choice of risk management policy and monitoring system. consider The basic rules for identifying and assessing risks will be considered, as well as the rules for conducting economic appraisals of projects. Using the example of an investment social project, we will calculate indicators of sensitivity to changes in price, cost and sales volume, and also compile a matrix of profit changes under the influence of prices in relation to a certain level of risk. Keywords: social projects, project risks, risk level, causes of occurrence, efficiency assessment, indicators of sensitivity."