Abstract

While there is agreement among tourism role-players on tourism's potential to contribute to socio-economic and environmental development, the industry is under severe threat from the increased impact of climate variability and change. This study examines the implications of rising sea level on coastal tourism in Cape Town, South Africa. Making use of mean sea level data from permanent sea level markers, remote sensing and field observations, supported by key informant interviews, the study found that coastal tourism is under threat from rising sea level. Current and projected rising sea level, as well as other extreme weather events such as the increased storm intensity trigger massive waves and tides that result in storm surges, which overtop and encroach into the land surface area. At least 80% of the city's 2019/2020 Blue Flag beaches are now under threat from rising sea level and coastal erosion. The study also found that some of the iconic tourist attractions such as the Cape Point, V&A Waterfront, Robben Island and several beaches along the False Bay area are under the same threat. Other tourism facilities under threat of weather extremes from climate change include servitudes, coastal roads, railway facilities and tidal pools: all threatening the attractiveness of some resorts. Management implicationsRising sea level is a huge challenge that requires innovative solutions for the city of Cape Town. Given the threat that the industry is facing, there is a need for a public-private partnership aimed at ensuring that there are sufficient resources to help the tourism sector is capable of adapting to climate change. Increase insurance cover is a must to protect businesses from anticipated increased damage from rising sea levels and associated weather extreme events. Continued risk assessment is a must to ensure the industry is abreast with the continued changes which are threats to coastal tourism resorts and infrastructure.

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