Rigorous Multi-Variate Characterization and Modeling of Paleo Zone for Simulation Model History Matching under Reservoir Uncertainty

Abstract

Abstract Presence of paleo zone, which frequently exists below Free-Water-Level surface, can impact dynamic reconciliation of reservoir simulation models. The process is even more challenging with embedded complex representations of reservoir connectivity (conductive fractures) and inherent uncertainty associated with geological and flow modeling. We present a rigorous approach that integrates characterization of paleo zone, parameterization of paleo zone conductivity and application of flow profiles as a guide in accelerated history matching study of large-scale Dual Porosity-Dual Permeability model. The presence of immobile oil within paleo zone can cause permeability reduction and inherently limit aquifer support to oil zone. Accordingly, such occurrence can be represented as a low permeability streak or region in the simulation model and leveraged for more accurate calibration of model injection wells located inside the paleo zone. We performed probabilistic sensitivity analysis and parameterization of paleo zone conductivity using Design of Experiments on a synthetic simulation model with optimized aquifer size and strength as the basecase. The outcome of the synthetic sensitivity scenarios using dynamic model strongly indicates that paleo zone is partially sealing. Multiple scoping runs were performed to identify appropriate permeability values required to calibrate the model. The use of multipliers in porositypermeability transform reproduces blocking or baffling effect of the paleo zone, considering this fluid will behave as part of the rock framework. Porosity and permeability were recomputed inside the paleo zone based on Bulk Volume of Water (BVW) data assessment. The higher the BVW the higher the chance to have effective communication between the oil leg and aquifer. These multipliers represent the probability of the sealing character of the paleo zone and reflect on the non-uniform distribution of accumulated hydrocarbons. Above methodology was used to define the initial set of paleo zone petrophysical property modifiers, rendering multiple model realizations within optimistic-pessimistic range. Flow profiles can be used to guide segmentation of paleo zone with preferential well injectivity to further improve the efficiency of history matching process. Our paper demonstrates a successful application of multi-variate characterization and modeling of paleo zone geometry and properties for a history match of a conceptual, complex reservoir simulation model under reservoir uncertainty. An innovative approach to probabilistic parameterization of paleo zone conductivity has contributed to a model with exceptionally high quality and rendered a reservoir simulation model with reliable predictive capability in accelerated time.