Abstract
This work analyzes the interaction between climate risk, caused by extreme events resulting from the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon and/or Climate Change, and its impact on local health services in Ecuador. The analysis focuses on Ecuador’s growing vulnerability to the effects of climate change, which exacerbates challenges in the delivery of health services, particularly in the context of severe climate events. The main objective is to analyze the relationship between the number of hectares affected by climate events and the availability and effectiveness of local health services, considering community resilience and health coverage as moderating variables. The methodology uses a linear regression analysis using data from 221 Ecuadorian municipalities, covering variables such as climate risk, health services, community resilience, health coverage, and demographic and socioeconomic factors. The results indicate a significant influence of climate risk on the effectiveness of health services, moderated by community resilience and health coverage. It is observed that areas with greater preparation and health coverage show a better capacity to respond to extreme weather events. Finally, it is important to integrate climate risk management into health services planning, suggesting that greater community resilience and broad health coverage are essential to mitigate the negative impacts of climate change on public health.
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