Abstract

Conventional heavy oil exploitation methods involve steam stimulation and flooding. An oil field in northwestern China has been producing heavy oil via steam injection for several decades. The production area has been seismically quiet until an increase in seismicity occurred several years ago. An array of 40 seismographs has been deployed between July and October 2021 to monitor seismicity and resolve the possible causes of the recent seismicity. Using an end-to-end machine-learning-based high-precision earthquake location workflow, we analyze a microseismic sequence comprised of 178 events that occurred in the study area. Numerical simulations incorporating Coulomb failure stress suggest that prolonged steam injection can reactivate faults and induce seismic events. Similarly, fluid diffusion through conduits may achieve the same effect. Analysis of the focal mechanism solutions of 21 strike-slip and thrust events with [Formula: see text] in conjunction with the background stress regime ([Formula: see text] azimuth = N15°W) reveal that the stress distribution is compatible with a left-lateral Riedel shear structure (RSS) model. Therefore, we can speculate that steam injection may induce earthquakes by reactivating preexisting RSS fault structures. To conclude, the recent seismic events could have been induced by two possible mechanisms: (1) long-term steam injection may cause the static stress level on the faults beneath the reservoir to build up to critical levels, following which a slight stress disturbance can trigger an earthquake and (2) fluid conduits may transport condensed water to basement faults, weakening the faults through fluid diffusion.

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