Abstract

Brucellosis is one of the major infectious diseases in China. In this study, we consider an SI model of animal brucellosis with transport. The basic reproduction number ℛ0 is obtained, and the stable state of the equilibria is analyzed. Numerical simulation shows that different initial values have a great influence on results of the model. In addition, the sensitivity analysis of ℛ0 with respect to different parameters is analyzed. The results reveal that the transport has dual effects. Specifically, transport can lead to increase in the number of infected animals; besides, transport can also reduce the number of infected animals in a certain range. The analysis shows that the number of infected animals can be controlled if animals are transported reasonably.

Highlights

  • Measures to control the spread of brucellosis are vaccinating susceptible and culling infected animal populations

  • In order to study the influence of transport on the spread of brucellosis, we present an SI model with transport

  • Our results reveal that initial values have important effects on the spread of disease

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Summary

Introduction

Yang et al [13] proposed to combine age structured brucellosis disease model with spatial diffusion infection firstly (R0 was obtained by mathematical analysis), analyzed the sensitivity to parameters, and gave the prevention and control measures of the disease. Some breeders do not take these measures in order to reduce economic losses, which can cause the spread of disease; besides, because the disease has a latent period, breeders do not discover brucellosis in time. In these cases, they transport animals which include the infected.

Equilibria
Stability Analysis
Numerical Results
Conclusion and Discussion
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