Abstract

Earth's terrestrial large carnivores form a highly endangered group of species with unique conservation challenges. The majority of these species have experienced major geographical range contractions, which puts many of them at high risk of extinction or of becoming ecologically ineffective. As a result of these range contractions and the associated loss of intact predator guilds, the ecological effects of these species are now far less widespread and common, with inevitable consequences for ecosystem function. Rewilding—which includes reintroducing species into portions of their former ranges—is an important carnivore conservation tool and means for restoring top-down ecological regulation. We conducted a global analysis of potential reintroduction areas. We first considered protected areas where one or more large carnivore species have been extirpated, identifying a total of 130 protected areas that may be most suitable for carnivore reintroduction. These protected areas include sites in every major world region, and are most commonly found in Mongolia (n = 13), Canada (n = 11), Thailand (n = 9), Namibia (n = 6), Indonesia (n = 6) and Australia (n = 6). We considered the sizes of protected areas, their levels of protection, the extent of human impacts within and around the protected areas, and the status of prey species in the protected areas. Finally, we used the ‘last of the wild’ approach to identify contiguous low human footprint regions within the former ranges of each species, identifying an additional 150 areas which could be the focus of conservation efforts to create conditions conducive to reintroductions. These low footprint regions were most commonly found in the USA (n = 14), Russia (n = 14), Canada (n = 10), China (n = 9) and Mauritania (n = 8). Together, our results show the global-scale potential for carnivore rewilding projects to both conserve these species and provide critical ecological and social benefits.

Highlights

  • Earth’s terrestrial large carnivores are a charismatic, highly endangered group of species

  • We identified the six largest protected areas for each large carnivore species where reintroduction may be successful following the implementation of conservation programmes designed to limit ongoing threats to carnivores, possibly including the original causes of extirpation

  • The smallest of the six largest protected areas is substantially larger than the estimated critical reserve size that is required for 50% probability of persistence for all ten of the large carnivore species with critical reserve size estimates [18]

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Summary

Introduction

Earth’s terrestrial large carnivores are a charismatic, highly endangered group of species. 64% of these species are threatened with extinction and 80% have declining population. Family scientific name common name category trend range lost (%) reintroduced?. CR increasing >99 yes [1]. Panthera tigris tiger decreasing 95 no Panthera leo lion. VU decreasing 94 yes [2]

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