Revisiting Hukou Transfer Intentions Among Floating Population in Chinese Cities: Spatial Differences and Multi-Level Determinants

Abstract

The hukou transfer intentions (HTI), as an essential indicator of migration behaviors, is of great significance to the urbanization development and the citizenization process of China’s floating migrants. Although extant studies have devoted extensively to the influence factors of HTI, their spatial differences and multi-level determinants are comparatively under-researched. Based on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS) data in 2016, we employed the spatial analysis method to discover a remarkable spatial disparity of HTI among cities of different sizes and found that HTI is affected by individual-level and city-level factors using a multilevel model. Besides city sizes and economic development levels, city amenity factors and housing prices also positively impact HTI. The cross-level interactions also indicate the greater preference of older, higher-educated, and wealthier floating migrants for larger cities than their counterparts, and the greater preference of older, higher-educated, and longer-term floating migrants for cities with higher housing prices than their counterparts, implying an accelerated agglomeration of talent with more social capital in leading cities. Several policy implications can be drawn from the discoveries of this study.