Abstract

This paper studies option pricing based on a reverse engineering (RE) approach. We utilize artificial intelligence in order to numerically compute the prices of options. The data consist of more than 5000 call- and put-options from the German stock market. First, we find that option pricing under reverse engineering obtains a smaller root mean square error to market prices. Second, we show that the reverse engineering model is reliant on training data. In general, the novel idea of reverse engineering is a rewarding direction for future research. It circumvents the limitations of finance theory, among others strong assumptions and numerical approximations under the Black–Scholes model.

Highlights

  • The most remarkable scientific breakthrough in recent years is the creation of super-human intelligence via deep neural networks in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) (Silver et al 2016, 2017, 2018; Tian et al 2019)

  • This paper studies option pricing based on a reverse engineering (RE) approach

  • This paper focuses on a certain financial derivative, namely options

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Summary

Introduction

The most remarkable scientific breakthrough in recent years is the creation of super-human intelligence via deep neural networks in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) (Silver et al 2016, 2017, 2018; Tian et al 2019). Given the enormous scale and complexity of data, a manual human analysis is impossible. We utilize the tools of AI and apply them to finance, on pricing financial derivatives. This paper focuses on a certain financial derivative, namely options. With the aim to simplify the subsequent analysis, we first study plain vanilla call- and put-options. A call(put)-option gives the holder the right to buy (sell) an underlying asset at a specified strike price and time in the future. European options can only be exercised at the end of maturity, while American-type options can be exercised at any time

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