Abstract

The expansion planning of wind turbine generating (WTG) requires the information of its forced outage rate (FOR) determined by using the continuous-time Markov Chain. In contrast with the conventional power plant, for the case study of WTG, the determination of FOR is utterly unique since it depends on the information of uncertain weather condition. Hence, the loss of load expectation (LOLE) and expected unserved energy (EUE) could be estimated so that it will not infringe its respective predetermined limits indispensable for the expansion planning of WTG using the stochastic approach. The modified IEEE RTS-79 system is used as a case study to verify effectiveness of the proposed method in the determination of WTG expansion planning. The results have shown improvement on the EUE and LOLE in relation with optimal expansion of the WTG units determined by using the proposed method.

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