Abstract

We describe associations of pretreatment drug resistance (PDR) with clinical outcomes such as remaining in care, loss to follow-up (LTFU), viral suppression, and death in Mexico, in real-life clinical settings. We analyzed clinical outcomes after a two-year follow up period in participants of a large 2017–2018 nationally representative PDR survey cross-referenced with information of the national ministry of health HIV database. Participants were stratified according to prior ART exposure and presence of efavirenz/nevirapine PDR. Using a Fine-Gray model, we evaluated virological suppression among resistant patients, in a context of competing risk with lost to follow-up and death. A total of 1823 participants were followed-up by a median of 1.88 years (Interquartile Range (IQR): 1.59–2.02): 20 (1%) were classified as experienced + resistant; 165 (9%) naïve + resistant; 211 (11%) experienced + non-resistant; and 1427 (78%) as naïve + non-resistant. Being ART-experienced was associated with a lower probability of remaining in care (adjusted Hazard Ratio(aHR) = 0.68, 0.53–0.86, for the non-resistant group and aHR = 0.37, 0.17–0.84, for the resistant group, compared to the naïve + non-resistant group). Heterosexual cisgender women compared to men who have sex with men [MSM], had a lower viral suppression (aHR = 0.84, 0.70–1.01, p = 0.06) ART-experienced persons with NNRTI-PDR showed the worst clinical outcomes. This group was enriched with women and persons with lower education and unemployed, which suggests higher levels of social vulnerability.

Highlights

  • Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.HIV pretreatment drug resistance (PDR), to non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) is associated with lower viral suppression (VS) in persons that initiate NNRTI-based antiretroviral treatment (ART) regimens [1,2]

  • Using a Fine-Gray model, we found that being ART-experienced was associated with a lower probability of remaining in care with viral suppression over time

  • The present study provides evidence that ART re-starters, as well as persons with pretreatment NNRTI resistance, in general have worse clinical outcomes than persons without previous exposure to ART and persons without NNRTI resistance in a cohort of Mexican individuals followed for two years

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Summary

Introduction

HIV pretreatment drug resistance (PDR), to non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) is associated with lower viral suppression (VS) in persons that initiate NNRTI-based antiretroviral treatment (ART) regimens [1,2]. Solid evidence suggests that NNRTI PDR levels have been consistently increasing in low-/middle-income countries (LMICs) worldwide during the last decade [3], posing a significant threat for the achievement of UNAIDS 95–95–95 goals for ending the AIDS epidemic [4]. Exception to this trend, with recent studies showing increasing NNRTI PDR trends in three focal points of the HIV epidemic in the country [5]. A large nationally representative survey performed in Mexico in 2017–2018 showed a PDR level to NNRTI in all ART initiators of. (19.5–34.3%) in previously antiretroviral-exposed individuals that re-start ART [6,7]. Up until late 2019, Mexican HIV treatment guidelines recommended NNRTI-based first-line

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