Abstract

This prospective study examined whether imaging results obtained using the tracer 18F-AlF-NOTA-fibroblast activation protein inhibitor (FAPI)-04 (denoted as 18F-FAPI-04) in PET/CT can predict the short-term outcome in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). Methods: The 18 enrolled LA-ESCC patients underwent 18F-FAPI-04 PET/CT scanning before CCRT. The SUVmax, SUVmean, SUVpeak, metabolic tumor volume, and total lesion fibroblast activation protein expression of the primary tumor were recorded. Additionally, the SUVmax of the primary tumor and SUVmean of normal tissue (muscle and blood) were measured, and their ratios were denoted as target-to-background ratios (TBRmuscle and TBRblood). Patients were classified as responders or nonresponders according to RECIST (version 1.1), and variables were compared between the 2 groups. Results: The TBRblood, TBRmuscle, and SUVmean were significantly higher in nonresponders than in responders (all P < 0.05). Receiver-operating-characteristic curve analysis identified TBRblood (area under the curve [AUC], 0.883; P = 0.008), TBRmuscle (AUC, 0.896; P = 0.006) and SUVmean (AUC, 0.870; P = 0.010) as significant predictors of the response to CCRT, with cutoffs of 10.68, 10.95, and 6.88, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy were also determined for TBRblood (100.0%, 72.7%, 66.7%, 88.9%, and 77.8%, respectively), TBRmuscle (100.0%, 72.7%, 66.7%, 88.9%, and 77.8%, respectively), and SUVmean (85.7%, 81.8%, 75.0%, 90.0%, and 83.3%, respectively). On univariate logistic regression analysis, TBRblood (P = 0.026), TBRmuscle (P = 0.036), SUVmean (P = 0.045), and tumor site (P = 0.032) were significantly correlated with the short-term outcome. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, TBRblood (P = 0.046) was an independent prognostic factor for short-term outcome. Conclusion: A higher baseline TBRblood on 18F-FAPI-04 PET/CT scans was associated with a poor response to CCRT in LA-ESCC patients, and thus, TBRblood may be useful for screening LA-ESCC patients before CCRT treatment.

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