Response of arboreal pollen abundance to late-Holocene drought events in the Upper Midwest, USA

Abstract

The impact of short-term climate anomalies and disturbances on past plant communities can be understood using high temporal or contiguous sedimentary pollen analysis. The response of pollen assemblages to decadal- to multidecadal-scale moisture variability was analyzed for the time intervals 3000–2200 and 1400–500 cal. yr BP. The hydroclimate and vegetation history for Minden Bog in southeastern Michigan were reconstructed using analyses of sedimentary testate amoebae and pollen. Results indicated that moisture anomalies accounted for 3% to 24% of the variation in arboreal pollen abundance for Fagus, Pinus, Quercus, and Tsuga. Betula pollen percentages did not appear to be affected by moisture variability. Given the longevity of these taxa, rapid arboreal pollen assemblage responses to moisture variability at decadal to multidecadal timescales were likely due to climate-induced changes in pollen productivity. Our data suggest that pollen–climate relationships may be counterintuitive at these fine temporal scales. For example, Tsuga pollen percentages generally increased during short-term dry events, in contrast to expected decreases in abundance with drying at millennial timescales based on empirical pollen–climate relationships. Results suggest caution should be used when inferring subdecadal to multidecadal climate variation from highly resolved pollen records. Rather, high-resolution pollen data may more accurately represent superimposed plant responses that are the composite of reproductive output nested within long-term plant community compositional changes in response to climatic variation.