Response mechanism of rodent burrow density to natural environmental factors in desert areas based on multisource data

Abstract

Timely and accurate prediction and early warning of rodent infestation are highly important for the sustainable development of desert ecosystems. This study combines data from 1376 UAV images of actual rodent burrows with natural environmental factor data, aiming to reveal the mechanism through which these factors affect rodent burrow density in the desert areas. The relationships between rodent burrow density and the 9 plant communities and 34 plant species in this area were analyzed by the K-W test and Spearman rank correlation analysis, respectively. The Boruta algorithm and the boosted regression trees (BRT) model were used to determine the six main factors influencing rodent burrow density from a total of 32 factors and to determine the distribution pattern of the burrows. The results show that (1) the density of rodent burrows in the Junggar Basin desert area gradually decreases from south to north and from west to east. (2) There were significant differences in rodent burrow density across the different plant community types (P = 0.048**). A total of 50.0 % of the species significantly influenced rodent burrow density at at least one level. (3) Among the 17 factors with lag effects, nine had the most significant correlation with rodent burrow density in April. Only two natural environmental factors demonstrated lag effects of less than one month. (4) The soil clay content, elevation, Normalized Difference Salinity Index (NDSI), vegetation cover, precipitation, and soil bulk density were the most important influencing factors on rodent burrow density. Considering the pairwise interactions among factors, the collective impact of these factors on rodent burrow density is at least sevenfold greater than the independent effect of a single factor. This study provides a theoretical basis for obtaining a timely and accurate understanding of the spatial distribution of rodent burrows, mitigating the degradation trend of desert ecosystems, and ensuring healthy and sustainable development.