Abstract

ABSTRACT The authors use a hypothetical spill incident 10 years in the future to examine the possible advances of spill response technology. The status of remote sensing at present, as well as its capabilities a decade hence, are discussed. The authors examine spill communication improvements, speculate on the use of the Internet to disseminate spill information, and examine electronic database systems for slick management. Progress in effectively using alternative cleanup strategies such as in situ burning and dispersants are reviewed, along with some of the likely impediments to their use in spills of 2011. Spill trajectory and behavior forecasting techniques of tomorrow are discussed in light of the expected continuing advance in computer technology. The authors review the likelihood that these new capabilities would actually be implemented. The resulting picture is a mixed one. Possible positive and negative scenarios are described.

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