Abstract

In the field of mineral resources extraction, one main challenge is to meet production targets in terms of geometallurgical properties. These properties influence the processing of the ore and are often represented in resource modeling by coregionalized variables with a complex relationship between them. Valuable data are available about geometalurgical properties and their interaction with the beneficiation process given sensor technologies during production monitoring. The aim of this research is to update resource models as new observations become available. A popular method for updating is the ensemble Kalman filter. This method relies on Gaussian assumptions and uses a set of realizations of the simulated models to derive sample covariances that can propagate the uncertainty between real observations and simulated ones. Hence, the relationship among variables has a compositional nature, such that updating these models while keeping the compositional constraints is a practical requirement in order to improve the accuracy of the updated models. This paper presents an updating framework for compositional data based on ensemble Kalman filter which allows us to work with compositions that are transformed into a multivariate Gaussian space by log-ratio transformation and flow anamorphosis. This flow anamorphosis, transforms the distribution of the variables to joint normality while reasonably keeping the dependencies between components. Furthermore, the positiveness of those variables, after updating the simulated models, is satisfied. The method is implemented in a bauxite deposit, demonstrating the performance of the proposed approach.

Highlights

  • Predictive geometallurgy is a challenging topic in the mining industry

  • Understanding the spatial distribution of the geometallurgical variables is key for the efficiency of mine planning production scheduling and operation control (Benndorf and Dimitrakopoulos 2018)

  • This study accounts for the problems of positivity preservation and the sum to one constraint after updating the model by working with log-ratios of the components and flow anamorphosis (Tolosana-Delgado and van den Boogaart 2018)

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Summary

Introduction

Predictive geometallurgy is a challenging topic in the mining industry. This discipline aims at providing quantitative approaches to forecast and optimize all steps of the mineral value chain from exploration to different processing circuits (Tolosana-Delgado and van den Boogaart 2018). Working with compositions within the EnKF framework breaks the linear analysis assumptions in Gaussian settings: zero probabilities should be assigned to negative values since physical observations of a non-negative variable will not be negative (Amezcua and Van Leeuwen 2014) This positiveness is reflected in the support (domain) of the distribution over zero since it is not able to take negative values. This study accounts for the problems of positivity preservation and the sum to one constraint after updating the model by working with log-ratios of the components and flow anamorphosis (Tolosana-Delgado and van den Boogaart 2018). In this way, multiGaussianity of observations and model variables are achieved. Some theoretical developments associated are reported in Appendix 1

Fundamental Concepts of Compositional Data
Flow Anamorphosis
Compositional Random Function
The Support Effect in Compositions
Ensemble Filter Update
Implementation Strategy
Validation Strategy
Case Study Description
Updating Process
Conclusions
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