Abstract

The Atlantic Sea Scallop fishery has grown tremendously over the past twenty years. The location and magnitude of harvestable biomass fluctuates dramatically due to both natural variation and the explicitly spatial management system designed to allow small individuals to grow larger and more valuable. These fluctuations in natural advantages can have profound effects on fishing ports. We use methods from economic growth literature to show that ports with lower initial scallop landings have grown the fastest. Furthermore, good access to biomass influences long-run changes in landings, although this effect exhibits considerable variability across ports. We also find evidence of returns to scope, suggesting that ports with other fishing activities could be well positioned to attract new scalloping activity when stock conditions are favorable. Further investigation of the largest ports using time-series methods also shows a high degree of variability; there are long-run relationships between scallop fishing and harvestable scallop stock in some ports, short-run relationships in some ports, and no relationship between the two in others. We interpret this as evidence that heterogeneity in the natural productivity of the ocean combined with explicitly spatial fisheries management has induced a spatial component to the port-level response to changes in biomass availability.

Highlights

  • The Atlantic Sea Scallop fishery has experienced dramatic increases in biomass, landings, and prices over a twenty-year time period (Hart and Rago 2006, Northeast Fisheries Science Center 2014)

  • We extend the specifications defined by equation 6 by interacting the natural advantage variables (AVGi and standard deviation (SDi)) with the initial conditions to allow for the effects of natural advantages to vary with initial sizes

  • Comparing the results of both plots in the top panel of Figure 5 leads to a somewhat counterintuitive conclusion: the effect of AVG on landings growth is more sensitive to ports’ initial engagement in other fisheries than it is to ports’ initial engagement in the scallop fishery, but both plots highlight the fact that large ports are better able to capitalize on long-run biomass conditions

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Summary

72 April 2019

Agricultural and Resource Economics Review long-lasting changes in the geographic distribution of fishing as agents respond to changing environmental and regulatory conditions by investing in capital or relocating existing capital (Portman, Jin, and Thunberg 2009, 2011). Within- and across-fishery agglomerative forces (separate from any natural advantages conferred by access to biomass) may influence where scallops are landed as participants in the industry respond to economies of scale and scope We examine these effects by estimating long-run economic growth models that relate growth of scallop fishing over fifteen years to initial conditions and exposure to biomass. We first estimate a long-run growth model to examine how natural advantages (access to biomass and variability of access over time) and returns to both scale and scope influence scallop landings at the port level. As access areas are opened and closed, and biomass in all parts of the ocean fluctuate, the relative advantages of fishing from a particular port are likely to change.

A Long-Run Growth Perspective
Findings
Discussion and Conclusions
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