Resilience-oriented planning for active distribution systems: A probabilistic approach considering regional weather profiles

Abstract

Recent experiences with increasing climatic variability highlighted the importance of enhanced power distribution system resilience. Conventional methods of power distribution system planning usually focus on persistentinvestments associated with predicted faulty events, aiming to enhance the overall system reliability. Improving distribution system resilience in response to extreme weather events involves reduction of impact of the events having varying probability of occurrence. The probability of an extreme event varies significantly by location due to a combination of geographical, climatological, and meteorological factors. Thus, instead of requiring persistent investments, the solutions for resilience-oriented system upgrades should be guided by the potential effects and the probability of occurrence of extreme weather events in a specific area. To achieve this objective, the present paper proposes a two-stage stochastic mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model based on regional weather profiles for the long-term resilience planning of distribution systems against extreme weather events. In the planning stage, investment decisions are made regarding overhead distribution line hardening and the distributed generation (DG) installation. During restoration process in the operational stage, dynamic microgrid formation is carried out for advanced distribution grid operations to minimize the cost corresponding to loss of load. The inclusion of regional weather profiles into planning objectives provide added flexibility to the network operators for analysing the trade-off between investment cost and load loss cost in resilient distribution system planning strategies.