Abstract
Prospective and retrospective reserves are defined as conditional expected values, given some information available at the time of consideration. Each specification of the information invoked gives rise to a corresponding pair of reserves. Relationships between reserves are established in the general set-up. For the prospective reserve the present definition conforms with, and generalizes, the traditional one. For the retrospective reserve it appears to be novel. Special attention is given to the continuous time Markov chain model frequently used in the context of life and pension insurance. Thiele’s differential equation for the prospective reserve is shown to have a retrospective counterpart. It is pointed out that the prospective and retrospective differential equations have, respectively, the Kolmogorov backward and forward differential equations as special cases. Practical uses of the differential equations are demonstrated by examples.
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